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The lack of a Day 3 Moderate Risk makes sense, given considerable uncertainty regarding the evolution of convection from Sunday night's event.It's likely without a doubt that the parameter space (environment) will be very volatile, capable of supporting all significant severe hazards, but, the track, timing and strength of storms will play a role into mainly the northward extent of the significant severe threat on Monday.These uncertainties make it tricky to confidently place a Moderate Risk at
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