2026 brings a risk that premature interest rate cuts from a more dovish Federal Reserve could lead to a rise in longer-term Treasury yields (and mortgage rates). This phenomenon is called a “bear ...

"Mortgage interest rates went down before the Fed cut rates in September but went up after," says Ali Wolf, chief economist ...

Joe Lavorgna, counselor to Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, reportedly backed further interest rate cuts in 2026 while ...

Eurozone government bond yields rise in early trade, tracking higher global yields after the Bank of Japan’s 25-basis-point rate hike to 0.75%, a three-decade high. Eurozone bond yields are also ...

The Trump administration said Tuesday that it expects the economy to grow at a pace of 3% and that the Federal Reserve can ...

Inverted Yields, Negative Rates, and U.S. Treasury Probabilities 10 Years Forward ...

Homebuyers hoping for mortgage rates to come down significantly will likely be disappointed again next year, experts say.

U.S. Treasuries seem increasingly anxious about 2026 and the bond market is already rebuilding risk premia ahead of the new ...

Discover how constant maturity impacts Treasury yields, mortgages, and swaps. Learn the role it plays in financial decisions ...

As explained in Prof. Robert Jarrow’s book cited below, forward rates contain a risk premium above and beyond the market’s expectations for the 3-month forward rate. We document the size of that risk ...

Because the U.S. has the world's largest economy, fluctuations in America's interest rates affect much more than domestic ...

MSCI's global equities gauge fell on Tuesday and 10-year U.S. Treasury yields were lower for a second day as investors ...