His model was predicting a different outcome than The New York Times’ model, which was heavily leaning in favor of a Donald Trump victory by 10:30 p.m. EST.

Nate Silver threw in the election towel in the middle of Election Day, claiming that his team of two did not have adequate resources to keep up with the US election results. The top pollster had backed Kamala Harris for a long time,

That’s what election prognosticator Nate Silver wrote after running his model for the final time this year. To get deep in the weeds, Silver ran 80,000 election simulations using his model, which includes polls weighted in different ways, plus inputs ...

When Nate Silver says the election is "closer than a coin flip," he's basing it on hard numbers — heads empirically win 50.5 percent of the time, a greater margin than Vice President Kamala Harris ' 50.15 percent chance of winning the superstar election handicapper's final forecast.

Nate Silver abruptly abandoned his prediction model just before 10:30pm Eastern time on Tuesday, posting on his Substack that his model was not "capturing the story of this election night well." As of 9:05pm,